Friday, April 20, 2012

UFC 145 Quick Picks

Well, we've finally arrived at the long awaited grudge match. Here are my UFC 145 Quick Picks.

Jon Jones vs Rashad Evans
I am beginning to see Jones as the next Anderson Silva. He's complete destruction of Shogun, Rampage and Machida leaves me wondering if anyone on the current roster can actually dethrone him. But, I do believe that Evans is the only man who can beat Jones right now. He's trained with him, doesn't have any illusions about his invincibility and is a smart fighter that will implement his gameplan. However, until Jones actually loses, I won't bet against Jones. My pick is for Jones to win by 3rd round submission.

Rory MacDonald vs Che Mills
What an interesting matchup. Che Mills another in a long line of excellent British strikers takes on Rory MacDonald, a well rounded fighter. Although I believe MacDonald is more than comfortable on his feet against Mills, I believe the Tri-Star product will fight a smart fight and force this to the ground. My pick is MacDonald via 2nd round submission.

Ben Rothwell vs Brendan Schaub
Rothwell vs Schaub is a matchup of two men coming in off losses. Rothwell lost a boring, who is more out-of-shape fight against Mark Hunt at UFC 135. Schaub is coming in off a vicious KO loss to Big Nog. Although neither man is in danger of being cut at this juncture, a loss could devastate both careers. Since Schaub is already beginning to show a suspect chin, I believe his biggest worry is getting KO'd. But Rothwell isn't really know for have tons of power. So, I believe Schaub will begin to pick Rothwell apart and eventually land that big right hand. My pick is Schaub by 2nd round TKO.

Miguel Torres vs Michael McDonald
What a step up in competition for McDonald. Although he is 14-1 in his career, he has yet to face a top level fighter. Insert Torres, the former Bantamweight champion with a ton of experience. Torres is getting his first taste of action since his release and re-signing by the UFC for his inappropriate twitter comments. I expect Torres to feel a sense of urgency to get a victory to help erase that moment in his life. McDonald has the majority of his victories by TKO/KO and most of Torres' submissions are usually off of his back. Since I don't think McDonald will be forcing takedowns, I expect this fight to be a striking battle. My pick is Torres via unanimous decision.

Mark Hominick vs Eddie Yagin
Hominick will be trying to rebound off a disappointing KO loss in 7 seconds to the Korean Zombie in his last outing. In Yagin he'll find a solid well-rounded fighter who relies heavily on his submission game. I expect Yagin to try and force this fight to the ground. Hominick has a good ground game and will be able to fend off submission attempts and possibly work for his own. My pick is that Hominick will out-work Yagin in route to a unanimous decision win.

Mark Bocek vs John Alessio
I have a feeling that this fight will be a ground war. Both men possess good ground skills and will look for a finish on the ground. Bocek is a good up-and-comer, Alessio is a veteran who has fought a multitude of top welterweights. However, he's lost to the top level guys. I expect this to be a back-and-forth battle. My pick is Bocek by unanimous decision.

So there are my UFC 145 Quick Picks. Now let the fights begin!

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